%0 Conference Proceedings %@holdercode {isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S} %@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H %@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 %@usergroup administrator %@usergroup deicy %@usergroup administrator %3 dmendes_egu2008.pdf %B EGU General Assembly. %X As Histoty embraces the beginning of a new millennium, old problem still constitute enormous challenges to the popoulation in general, and to the academic world in particular. It is now widely accepted that General Circulation Models (CCMs) represent the most satisfactory technique to answer these challengs (IPCC, 1996). Numerical models (General Circulation Models or GCMs), representing physical processes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and land surface, are the most advanced tools currently. avaible for simulating the respose of the global climate system ti increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. This work analyses the performance of the IPCC models (CCma, CCSRNIES, CSIRO, GFDL, HACM3, and others) in simulate the present and future climate pattern of the rainfall over the South America Continent. It general the models get to reproduce the phase of the annual cycle of the rainfall. In this work was used four common metric are reviewed, the Heidke skill score, relative operating characteristic (ROC) skill score, equitable threat score, and the rank analog. %@mirrorrepository sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17.24 %T Measuring projections of climate change skill: South America precipitation using IPCC models %@format On-line %@tertiarytype Oral Technical Session %@secondarytype PRE CI %K Sout America, precipitation, artificial neural network, meteorology. %8 2008 %@visibility shown %@group DMD-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR %@group CST-CST-INPE-MCT-BR %@secondarykey INPE--PRE/ %2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/03.19.13.23.51 %@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) %@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) %4 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/03.19.13.23 %D 2008 %S Abstracts %A Mendes, David, %A Marengo, José Antonio, %C Vienna, Austria %@area MET