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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeThesis or Dissertation (Thesis)
Sitemtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP8W/355JR6S
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/04.13.13.16   (restricted access)
Last Update2009:06.16.13.41.56 (UTC) sergio
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/04.13.13.16.34
Metadata Last Update2021:10.19.14.18.31 (UTC) sergio
Secondary KeyINPE-15706-TDI/1471
Citation KeyMuralikrishna:2009:PrÍnGe
TitlePrevisão do índice geomagnético dst utilizando redes neurais artificiais e árvore de decisão
Alternate TitleGeomagnetic DST index forecast using artificial neural networks and decision tree
CourseCAP-SPG-INPE-MCT-BR
Year2009
Date2009-02-13
Access Date2024, May 06
Thesis TypeDissertação (Mestrado em Computação Aplicada)
Secondary TypeTDI
Number of Pages132
Number of Files416
Size17714 KiB
2. Context
AuthorMuralikrishna, Amita
GroupCAP-SPG-INPE-MCT-BR
CommitteeRosa, Reinaldo Roberto (presidente)
Silva, José Demísio Simões da (orientador)
Lago, Alisson Dal (orientador)
Alarcon, Walter Demetrio Gonzalez
Osório, Fernando Santos
e-Mail Addressamita.mk@gmail.com
UniversityInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
CitySão José dos Campos
History (UTC)2009-04-13 13:16:35 :: amita.mk@gmail.com -> yolanda ::
2009-05-18 14:40:48 :: yolanda -> jefferson ::
2009-07-02 19:59:29 :: jefferson -> administrator ::
2009-07-07 16:15:19 :: administrator -> jefferson ::
2009-07-08 15:16:53 :: jefferson -> camila ::
2009-08-19 14:50:45 :: camila -> viveca@sid.inpe.br ::
2009-08-21 17:09:09 :: viveca@sid.inpe.br -> administrator ::
2020-04-28 17:48:35 :: administrator -> simone :: 2009
2021-01-07 10:33:27 :: simone -> sergio :: 2009
2021-10-19 14:18:31 :: sergio -> amita.mk@gmail.com :: 2009
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
KeywordsRedes neurais artificiais
clima espacial
DST
tempestade magnética
árvore de decisão
perceptron múltiplas camadas
backpropagation
artificial neural networks
space weather
magnetic storm
decision tree
multilayer perceptron
AbstractA Terra sofre constante influência da atividade solar através do vento solar, que traz consigo estruturas resultantes, principalmente, de eventos solares como explosões solares e ejeções coronais de massa. A interação quase estática do vento solar com o campo geomagnético forma a estrutura denominada magnetosfera, que funciona como um escudo, que protege o planeta do plasma provindo do Sol. No entanto, em função das características que as estruturas de origem solar adquirem ao longo do meio interplanetário, pode haver penetração de parte dessa matéria para dentro da magnetosfera. Como conseqüência, diversos tipos de distúrbios podem ser gerados no planeta, como, por exemplo, as auroras e as tempestades geomagnéticas, as quais podem ocasionar diversos danos aos sistemas tecnológicos, entre outros prejuízos. Este trabalho aborda a relação entre as características do meio interplanetário durante o avanço de estruturas interplanetárias em direção à Terra e os efeitos sentidos pelo campo geomagnético, como resposta a essas características. O foco principal é a previsão do comportamento do campo geomagnético, medido, neste trabalho, pelo índice geomagnético Dst, levando-se em conta, principalmente, as três coordenadas do campo magnético interplanetário. As ferramentas escolhidas para resolver o problema não-linear foram as técnicas: Rede Neural Artificial do tipo Perceptron de Múltiplas Camadas, treinada com algoritmo backpropagation, Mapa Auto-organizável de Kohonen e Árvore de Decisão com algoritmo J48. Foi possível comprovar algumas relações e questionar a existência de outras com a Árvore de Decisão e prever, com ótimo percentual de eficiência, o índice geomagnético Dst com a Rede MLP. ABSTRACT: The Earth suffers constant influence of the solar activity through the solar wind, which brings with it the resulting structures, mainly phenomena like solar flares and coronal mass ejection. The almost static interaction between the solar wind and the geomagnetic field forms a structure called magnetosphere, which acts as a shield that protects the planet from radiation and solar plasma. However, depending on the characteristics that these structures of solar origin acquire throughout the interplanetary medium, a part of the energy and matter may penetrate into the magnetosphere. As a result, different types of disturbances can be generated on the planet, for example, the aurora and the geomagnetic storms, which can cause damage to various technological systems, among other losses. The present work formulates the relationship between the characteristics of the interplanetary medium during the progress of the interplanetary structures towards the Earth and the effects observed on the geomagnetic field, in response to these characteristics. The main focus is on forecasting the behavior of the geomagnetic field, represented in this work by the Dst index, using for that, mainly, the three interplanetary magnetic field components. The tools chosen here to solve the non-linear problem were the Multi-layer Perceptrons Artificial Neural Network, trained with the backpropagation algorithm; the Kohonen Self-Organizing Map and the Decision Tree with the J48 algorithm. It was possible to establish some relationships and to question the existence of others with the Decision Tree, and predict the geomagnetic Dst index with great percentage efficiency with the Artificial Neural Network.
AreaCOMP
Arrangementurlib.net > CAP > Previsão do índice...
doc Directory Contentaccess
source Directory Content
Dissertação_corrigida 13.04.09.pdf 18/05/2009 11:40 3.7 MiB
agreement Directory Contentthere are no files
4. Conditions of access and use
Languagept
Target Filepublicacao.pdf
User Groupadministrator
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Reader Groupadministrator
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Update Permissiontransferred to amita.mk@gmail.com
5. Allied materials
Mirror Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17.24
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3F2PHGS
DisseminationNTRSNASA; BNDEPOSITOLEGAL.
Host Collectionsid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17
6. Notes
Empty Fieldsacademicdepartment affiliation archivingpolicy archivist callnumber contenttype copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel doi electronicmailaddress format isbn issn label lineage mark nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype
7. Description control
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